And everything changes! Obama's lead evaporates. Russia goes all Tsarist* on us. And, the IndyCar Series flirts with irrelevance.
As for why Obama's in trouble, THIS Sullivan post goes a long way to explaining it, along with my theory that folks didn't object to Bush on ideas; they did so on competence. Liberals missed this.
*Just a note. Putin's Russia is many bad things; Communist, it ain't.
More on the IRL later.